What to Expect When No One’s Expecting


Overpopulation fears are vastly overstated. As surprising as it may seem, the bigger threat is population decline. In 1979, for example, the world’s fertility rate was roughly 6 children per couple; today it’s just 2.52. Moreover, birthrates are falling everywhere. In fact, only 3 percent of the world’s population lives in a country whose fertility rate is not declining.

This decline is especially apparent in the West, where America’s birthrate has fallen to a record low for the second straight year. At 1.93 children per couple, America does have the highest birthrate of any western nation, yet we still fall below the rate needed to sustain our population (2.1 children per couple). In other words, if it weren’t for immigration, our population would be dwindling. Forget ‘be fruitful and multiply’—we aren’t even replacing ourselves. …Read More.